Sunday, December 09, 2007

Market Comments Submitted by Nick at Ambitions as a Stock Trader

Submitted by My Ambitions as a Trader and Investor

Stock Picks and Trade Ideas for Monday

New Longs: BECN (bottoming out), CAST, CHP, CVA, CTCM, CYH, DCGN (rebuy), IBKR, IMAX, SMTS, STAR (rebuy), SVNT, SWIM, TNP, TX, VII (rebuy), VLCCF


Add To: ANSR, BRKR, DAR, MASI, TECH, VSNT

Take Profits: RICK (sell 25% of position)


My Ambitions as a Trader and Investor is not a registered investment advisor. Please read the complete Small Cap Stocks Blog Disclaimer



Visit 1800blogger to see all of our industry leading blogs

Labels: , , , , ,

Market Scan for Small Cap Stocks on December 7, 2007

Submitted by Ducimus Plinius

Market Scan for small cap stocks
at the close of the markets on December 7, 2007


The table below identifies the stocks returned on my scan of the US markets for small capitalizations stocks likely to display the characteristics of stocks entering Phase II, as described by Stan Weinstein.


Click Image to Enlarge



Ducimus Plinius is not a registered investment advisor. Please read the complete Small Cap Stocks Blog Disclaimer



Visit 1800blogger to see all of our industry leading blogs

Labels: , ,

Knobias Clip Report (12-7-2007)

Submitted By Knobias ClipReport

IMAX: Announces 100 Screen Joint Venture Agreement with AMC Entertainment Inc.

Imax Corp. (IMAX) and AMC Entertainment announced a joint venture agreement to convert 100 of AMC’s screens into IMAX projection systems in 33 major US cities. The agreement is projected to double IMAX's current commercial theatre footprint in North America and accelerates the momentum behind IMAX and AMC's transition to digital projection technology.

According to the conference call, the agreement is based on the premise that IMAX will carry the cost of projectors and their installation which normally cost in the $500,000 range, while AMC will retrofit auditorium seating and screens to accommodate for the IMAX experience.

The rollout of the first 50 IMAX digital projection systems will begin in July 2008 at premier AMC theatre locations in 24 of the 33 selected markets, with an additional 25 scheduled for rollout in 2009 and 25 more in 2010. The IMAX theatres are slated to be installed in many of AMC's top-performing locations in the United States, including: AMC South Barrington 30, Chicago; AMC Mesquite 30, Dallas; AMC Gulf Pointe 30, Houston; AMC Century City 15, Los Angeles; AMC Empire 25, New York; AMC Neshaminy 24, Philadelphia; AMC Eastridge 15, San Francisco; AMC Hoffman Center 22, Washington D.C.

The Company noted that deal will allow IMAX to receive a percentage of net revenue. It wasn’t completely disclosed exactly what the percentage was, but a cannibalization clause was built into the deal which would protect AMC somewhat. Even so, projections have a payback period of 2.4 years for IMAX with an internal rate of return of 37.5%. With only a $500,000 investment, IMAX is expecting to receive a total of $1.51M over a 7 year period per screen.

The projectors were noted as being the new digital line the Company had been developing. In October of this year, IMAX announced that it had moved up the launch date of its digital projection system to mid-2008 from its previously announced anticipated timeframe of the end of 2008 to mid-2009. The highly anticipated IMAX digital projection system will further enhance The IMAX Experience and help to drive profitability for studios, exhibitors and IMAX theatres by virtually eliminating the need for film prints, increasing program flexibility and ultimately increasing the number of movies shown on IMAX screens.

On the financing the maximum amount of cash IMAX would need to complete installation was noted as $18 million. The Company reported that while more capital would be spent during the deal, IMAX would only need $18 million to finish the installation because cash flow would begin following the first installations which would help the cost of subsequent costs. As of the Company’s latest quarterly report, cash and cash equivalents totaled $15.98 million while short term investments were $2.192 million. The amounts cause IMAX to need additional financing but the accounts receivable balance was $22.511 million while financing receivables came in at $62.214 million, more than enough to cover the costs of the projector installations.

In addition, IMAX noted the record opening and second week numbers from their release of Beowulf at their theaters throughout the country. Following the news, shares of IMAX opened up 48% on strong volume. While the deal could conceivably bring the Company closer to profitability, the legitimacy and recognition the Company could receive might cause a snowball effect with other theaters adding an IMAX screen to their lineup. With that in mind, investors would be wise to watch.



Visit 1800blogger to see all of our industry leading blogs

Labels: , ,

Friday, December 07, 2007

Knobias Clip Report (12-6-2007)

Submitted By Knobias ClipReport

KKD: New Operational and International Strategy Results in Earnings Surprise

Thursday’s session revolved around President Bush’s speech regarding a 5 year interest rate freeze on subprime loans with distinct characteristics to thwart many that are at risk of foreclosure. The decision is one that will bring increased debate about morals and the bailing out of some who should have never been able to afford homes originally without the adjustable rate mortgages. The President and Secretary Paulson noted that the freeze will stave off foreclosures which would cause increased loss of value from investors and homeowners alike. Either way, the government is trying to do something, which is commendable and should boost market confidence, but the moral dilemma will continue as will debates about government intervention into private industry.

While the government attempts to turnaround the mortgage and lending problems, another small cap name saw increased attention due to their turnaround.

Krispy Kreme Doughnuts, Inc. (KKD) announced their third quarter results on Thursday. The Company reported revenues decreased 11.7% to $103.4 million compared to $117.1 million in the third quarter of last year. Company Stores revenues decreased 11.3% to $72.8 million, while Franchise revenues were flat at $5.7 million and KK Supply Chain revenues decreased 15.1% to $24.9 million.

But more importantly, the Company reported net loss for the third quarter of $798,000, or $0.01 per diluted share, compared to a net loss of $7.2 million, or $0.12 per diluted share, in the comparable period last year. The Company continues to streamline their operations and close down underperforming locations. They also are implementing their spoke and hub strategy which saw 20 new satellites open during the quarter, continued reduction in general and administrative expenses, and reduced supply chain costs by outsourcing their coffee supply.

What was also interesting was their international numbers. Krispy Kreme has increased their international franchisee sales increase by 48% year over year. While the American movement to lose weight and ward off weight related diseases, the movement isn’t happening in other nations, especially in the Asian countries.

"As we look past the third quarter, we continue to focus on improving Company shop performance, driving the hub and spoke model, growing our international franchise business, refranchising certain domestic markets and reducing costs to help offset rising commodity prices," said Daryl Brewster, the Company's President and Chief Executive Officer, in the earnings release.

Following the news, shares gained some 27% on 4.45 million shares traded. With the Company continuing their international expansion as well as contracting domestically, more profitably locations could become the result. With that in mind, investors would be wise to watch.



Visit 1800blogger to see all of our industry leading blogs

Labels: , ,

Thursday, December 06, 2007

Market Comments Submitted by Nick at Ambitions as a Stock Trader

Submitted by My Ambitions as a Trader and Investor

In Play: FUQI, GXDX, MASI, VSNT

Here are todays In Play Candidates: FUQI, GXDX, MASI, VSNT


My Ambitions as a Trader and Investor is not a registered investment advisor. Please read the complete Small Cap Stocks Blog Disclaimer



Visit 1800blogger to see all of our industry leading blogs

Labels: , , ,

Market Scan for Small Cap Stocks on December 6, 2007

Submitted by Ducimus Plinius

Market Scan for small cap stocks
at the close of the markets on December 6, 2007


The table below identifies the stocks returned on my scan of the US markets for small capitalizations stocks likely to display the characteristics of stocks entering Phase II, as described by Stan Weinstein.


Click Image to Enlarge



Ducimus Plinius is not a registered investment advisor. Please read the complete Small Cap Stocks Blog Disclaimer




Visit 1800blogger to see all of our industry leading blogs

Labels: , ,

Knobias Clip Report (12-5-2007)

Submitted By Knobias ClipReport

Aftermarket News Has 3 Names on the Move

Wednesday’s session saw the indices rally on the back of jobs data which was reported higher than analyst estimates. The job growth displayed numbers which were in stark contrast of any expectation of recession. Even so, fear and anxiety remained with continued subprime talk on the horizon. Headlines were reporting that the Bush administration was proposing a 5 year interest rate freeze on owner occupied subprime mortgages. Large investment firms were also reporting the receipt of subpoenas to testify before congress on the selling of these risky debt securities. The fear and anxiety were still expected to be enough to tip the scales in favor of a cut in the interest rates by the Fed next week.

But the real news came post-market on Bidz.com Inc. (BIDZ), Hoku Scientific (HOKU) and Novastar Financial (NFI).

BIDZ has been battling a negative mention by Citron Research which was published last week. The Company refuted the allegations made by Citron in a conference call that did more harm than good to the share price. Following the report and call, shares were effectively been cut in half.

But it still didn’t dissuade analysts from coming to its defense. Roth, Think Equity, and Craig-Hallum all maintained a Buy rating in their reports and noted the weakness as entry opportunities. Roth even commended the Company in its attempt to address the negative report after shares dropped some $2.50 during the call.

Prior to the Citron report, BIDZ had issued guidance on November 27th of $180 million to $182 million in revenue for the 2007 fiscal year. Fourth quarter revenue was expected at $56 million to $58 million. The reason for the raised guidance was noted as the record Thanksgiving holiday weekend which saw a substantial jump. 2008 revenue guidance was also released which noted expectations for $225 million to $230 million in revenue and 47c to 51c in earnings per share.

In aftermarket action on Wednesday, the Company updated their guidance. In a little more than a week, the Company noted that it now expected revenue for the year to be at the higher end of their $180 million to $182 million view. Pretax income for the year was guided for $18 million to $18.5 million. Pretax income for the fourth quarter was expected to be $5.6 million to $6 million on $56 million to $58 million.

Not much changed except the Company’s expectation of 2007 revenue coming in at the higher end of their range. That and the fact that televisions (one of the questions brought up in the conference call regarding shill bidding) are no longer available on the site. Aftermarket trading saw shares hit highs in the $13.00 range before falling back down to closing levels.

Hoku Scientific, a clean energy technology company, which has been gathering extravagant amounts of prepayment contracts for polysilicon in hopes of gathering enough to construct a plant in Idaho, announced that the Company had signed a non binding term sheet with Merrill Lynch for $185 million in financing to facilitate the cost of construction. Following the announcement, shares jumped to the $10.40 range after closing at $9.80.

Novastar Financial Inc. (NFI) shares, which had been on many trader’s screens following their recent activity, saw another boost following the subprime mortgage lender’s waiver acceptance by Wachovia. At issue was the Company’s adjusted tangible net worth which had fallen below the convent levels. The Company originally broke the covenant on September 30th, but received a waiver until November 30th. The Company now announced that Wachovia has until Dec. 7th, this Friday. The first waiver was for 2 months. The second is now only 7 days which could signify Wachovia is running short on patience. Even so, shares were up some 30% in after market trade.

Wednesday’s aftermarket session saw a plethora of exciting, market affecting news cause some large swings in after hour trading. If the action continues to Thursday’s session, investors would certainly be wise to watch.



Visit 1800blogger to see all of our industry leading blogs

Labels: , , , ,

Wednesday, December 05, 2007

Market Scan for Small Cap Stocks on December 5, 2007

Submitted by Ducimus Plinius

Market Scan for small cap stocks
at the close of the markets on December 5, 2007


The table below identifies the stocks returned on my scan of the US markets for small capitalizations stocks likely to display the characteristics of stocks entering Phase II, as described by Stan Weinstein.


Click Image to Enlarge



Ducimus Plinius is not a registered investment advisor. Please read the complete Small Cap Stocks Blog Disclaimer



Visit 1800blogger to see all of our industry leading blogs

Labels: , ,

Market Comments Submitted by Nick at Ambitions as a Stock Trader

Submitted by My Ambitions as a Trader and Investor

Stock Picks and Trade Ideas for Wednesday

I will try and have some long and short candidates by either tomorrow morning or during market hours. I would have posted them tonight but I am very busy and do not have enough time to do any indepth research. Do not worry. Judging by my research (thus far), we won't be missing out on much as the market has left very few good long positions standing.

For Wednesday...

New Buy Candidates: MXB, SOLF (watch your entry on this one)

Add To: CSIQ

New Short Candidates:


*Update: I haven't found any great new longs for today. I will try and see if I find any good trades intra-day and post them before the market close.


--------------------------------------------

Today's trades

New Buy: APPY, BRKR

Add To: MASI, RICK, SPIR, TECH, WATG


Time to Sell: DCGN (sold for 7.12% loss)



My Ambitions as a Trader and Investor is not a registered investment advisor. Please read the complete Small Cap Stocks Blog Disclaimer



Visit 1800blogger to see all of our industry leading blogs

Labels:

Tuesday, December 04, 2007

Market Scan for Small Cap Stocks on December 4, 2007

Submitted by Ducimus Plinius

Market Scan for small cap stocks
at the close of the markets on December 4, 2007


The table below identifies the stocks returned on my scan of the US markets for small capitalizations stocks likely to display the characteristics of stocks entering Phase II, as described by Stan Weinstein.


Click Image to Enlarge



Ducimus Plinius is not a registered investment advisor. Please read the complete Small Cap Stocks Blog Disclaimer



Visit 1800blogger to see all of our industry leading blogs

Labels: , ,

Knobias Clip Report (12-4-2007)

Submitted By Knobias ClipReport

Solar Sees Increased Attention on Energy Bill

Tuesday’s session saw continued talk of Fed rate cuts, financials seeing increased selling pressure, speculation regarding gaming consolidation, and solar names on the rise again. This alternate energy sector saw a barrage of news from many located in the China market which spilled over into a sympathy related rally for the whole space.

Solarfun Power Holding Company Limited (SOLF) began the rally when shares gained over 39% following news that the Company had reached an agreement with Good Energies Inc., a renewable energy investor, to sell some 66.7 million ordinary shares and 281,011 American Depository Shares to the investor. Included in the investment were almost 50% of the shares held by SOLF’s chairman and CEO, Yonghua Lu. It was noted that Lu would retain a 16.1% stake in the Company. The deal effectively raises Good Energies’ holdings to 34.7% from only 6.3% of the Company before the deal. It also will allow Good Energies to have additional control of the board of directors.

The deal left some investors worrying about the CEO’s faith in the Company. There aren’t many instances of CEO’s liquidating 50% of their holdings. Even rarer was the security gaining over 40%.

Canadian Solar Inc. (CSIQ) also was in on the action as speculation circulated of a potential partnership circulated the floors. The Company has been highlighted a few times with their growing top line and more recently by raising $75 million in a 144A private placement. Shares gained some 17% on the day with over 5 million shares traded.

LDK Solar Co Ltd (LDK) shares saw a 31% increase on Tuesday. The Company had become embattled in an inventory disagreement with a former employee. Shares had seen their price fall from highs of over $75 in late September to lows in the $26 area in late November. On November 15th the Company announced guidance for sales of $165 to $170 million. Earnings were expected to be between 37c and 41c.

No official news had been reported over the past few days but a story circulated that noted the Company had raised some $700 million in debt and had retained all of their customers throughout the inventory discrepancy. The Company earlier had noted that the investigation into inventories reporting had continued. They were expected to announce their findings in early December. With that on the horizon, the shares could see additional attention.

Also contributing to the heightened attention to the sector was the proposed energy bill. The legislation was seen as a negative catalyst last month as news that the Democrats were proposing a stripping out of alternative energy tax cuts to gain favor of the Republicans to override any presidential veto. With the bill possibly being on the agenda in the coming days, investors would certainly be wise to watch many in the solar area.




Visit 1800blogger to see all of our industry leading blogs

Labels: , ,

Market Comments Submitted by Nick at Ambitions as a Stock Trader

Submitted by My Ambitions as a Trader and Investor

Stock Picks and Trade Ideas for Tuesday

New Buy Candidates: APPY (rebuy), BRKR (rebuy), FMR


Add To: SPIR, MASI, WATG



My Ambitions as a Trader and Investor is not a registered investment advisor. Please read the complete Small Cap Stocks Blog Disclaimer



Visit 1800blogger to see all of our industry leading blogs

Labels: , , , , ,

Market Comments Submitted by Nick at Ambitions as a Stock Trader

Submitted by My Ambitions as a Trader and Investor

Let's K.I.M. (Keep It Moving)

Today's action made it easy for me to see which stocks were the clear winners. Speculative China plays were the stocks du jour. This was quite evident with plays such as FSIN, HRBN, WATG and many others getting plenty of heavy trader love. I already own some WATG. Since it did so well, I added some more to my position. FSIN was a stock that I previously played and sold because it wasn't acting right. That was back at 14 and change. Although I did regret selling it much earlier, I decided to rebuy the stock (avg price in at around mid 18). So far so good.

New Buys: DCGN, FSIN

The rest of the buy candidates faltered near the end and were eliminated. I will post some more buy candidates for tomorrow later on tonight.

My Ambitions as a Trader and Investor is not a registered investment advisor. Please read the complete Small Cap Stocks Blog Disclaimer



Visit 1800blogger to see all of our industry leading blogs

Labels: , , ,

Market Scan for Small Cap Stocks on December 3, 2007

Submitted by Ducimus Plinius

Market Scan for small cap stocks
at the close of the markets on December 3, 2007


The table below identifies the stocks returned on my scan of the US markets for small capitalizations stocks likely to display the characteristics of stocks entering Phase II, as described by Stan Weinstein.


Click Image to Enlarge



Ducimus Plinius is not a registered investment advisor. Please read the complete Small Cap Stocks Blog Disclaimer



Visit 1800blogger to see all of our industry leading blogs

Labels: , ,

Monday, December 03, 2007

Knobias Clip Report (12-3-2007)

Submitted By Knobias ClipReport

Cohesant Soars after Graco Agrees to Acquire Its GlasCraft Subsidiary

Cohesant Technologies (NASDAQ: COHT) announced on Monday that it has entered into a definitive agreement pursuant to which Graco Inc. (NYSE: GGG) will acquire the Company's GlasCraft Inc. subsidiary. The total transaction value is $35 million including indebtedness assumed by Graco at the closing and transaction expenses.

Graco is expected to acquire Cohesant's outstanding shares for $9.05 - 9.55 per share in cash following a spinoff of all of the Company's non-GlasCraft Operations. The acquisition is expected to be completed in the first quarter of 2008.

Shares of Cohesant soared on the news, reaching a high of $9.30, gaining almost 60% over the previous day's close. Graco shares were trading flat after the announcement.

Cohesant recently consolidated all of its non-GlasCraft operations under the umbrella of its CIPAR subsidiary. As part of the sale of GlasCraft, the Company will spin-off its CIPAR subsidiary by declaring a taxable dividend of one share of CIPAR for each share of Cohesant common stock outstanding. The Company has received an opinion that CIPAR will be valued at $6.6 million at the time of the spin-off. The resulting company will be quoted on the over-the-counter market and be known as Cohesant Inc.

Morris Wheeler, the Company's CEO, stated in a press release, "This transaction is a classic win-win scenario. The transaction allows Cohesant to focus its resources on its infrastructure protection and renewal businesses and provides a significant immediate cash return to its shareholders. The $9.05 minimum cash merger consideration represents a significant premium over the 30-day volume weighted price of Cohesant Technologies shares. In addition, Cohesant shareholders will retain the upside of the infrastructure rehabilitation businesses, including the full line of CuraFlo and Raven products and services."

Graco CEO Patrick McHale added in a separate release, "GlasCraft is a well respected company [Graco] has been interested in acquiring for several years. [GlasCraft] has approximately 70 employees and annual sales of approximately $18 million. [GlasCraft] is recognized for its presence in the global composites market as well as the polyurethane foam and polyurea coatings markets. GlasCraft's products, brands and engineering capabilities highly complement Graco's core businesses, creating an opportunity to leverage each company's unique strengths and create future sales and net earnings growth."

GlasCraft manufactures and sells solutions for both the open and closed-mold segments of the Composites manufacturing industry. GlasCraft also designs, manufactures and sells high performance dispense systems for the polyurethane foam and polyurea coatings industries. Graco Inc. supplies technology and expertise for the management of fluids in both industrial and commercial applications. It designs, manufactures and markets systems and equipment to move, measure, control, dispense and spray fluid materials.



Visit 1800blogger to see all of our industry leading blogs

Labels: , , ,

Sunday, December 02, 2007

Market Comments Submitted by Nick at Ambitions as a Stock Trader

Submitted by My Ambitions as a Trader and Investor

Stock Picks and Trade Ideas for Monday December 3, 2007

New Buy Candidates: ADLS, CIM, CLR, COCO, DCGN, DCI, FUQI, MFA, MWP, SABA, TECH

Add To: ANSR, IMNY, RICK, SHEN, SQNM, VSL, WATG

My Ambitions as a Trader and Investor is not a registered investment advisor. Please read the complete Small Cap Stocks Blog Disclaimer



Visit 1800blogger to see all of our industry leading blogs

Labels: , , , , , , , , , ,

Market Comments Submitted by Nick at Ambitions as a Stock Trader

Submitted by My Ambitions as a Trader and Investor

Trade Journal (Friday November 30, 2007)

New Buys: DEPO, SHEN (Other long candidates did not qualify as new longs)



Add To: APEI, AXYS, GVP, IMNY, MASI, SHEN, SLT, VSL



Sold for Profit: CEL (+17.8%)





Sold for Loss: SIRT (-8.65%)



My Ambitions as a Trader and Investor is not a registered investment advisor. Please read the complete Small Cap Stocks Blog Disclaimer



Visit 1800blogger to see all of our industry leading blogs

Labels: , , , , , , ,

Market Scan for Small Cap Stocks on November 30, 2007

Submitted by Ducimus Plinius

Market Scan for small cap stocks
at the close of the markets on November 30, 2007


The table below identifies the stocks returned on my scan of the US markets for small capitalizations stocks likely to display the characteristics of stocks entering Phase II, as described by Stan Weinstein.


Click Image to Enlarge



Ducimus Plinius is not a registered investment advisor. Please read the complete Small Cap Stocks Blog Disclaimer



Visit 1800blogger to see all of our industry leading blogs

Labels: , ,

Knobias Clip Report (11-30-2007)

Submitted By Knobias ClipReport

Alternate Energy Names Get Another Drink From the Well

Friday’s session saw the Dow try to extend a two day rally into three as many of the financials gained while tech names fell, basically swapping places from the past few weeks. Dell shares led the way down as earnings were lighter than analyst estimates. On the commodity side, crude slipped again as speculation OPEC would increase production circulated the floors while the dollar index climbed.

In the small cap space, alternate energy names were in the news again following their recent rallies. Two of the names raised money through private placements, diluting shareholders but at the same time, raising money at ideal times to sustain their growth and implement their plans.

Canadian Solar Inc. (CSIQ) announced that it plans to make a private offer, subject to market conditions and other factors, of approximately $75 million of its convertible senior notes due 2017. Canadian Solar intends to grant the initial purchaser of the notes an option to purchase up to an additional US$11.25 million in aggregate principal amount of the notes to cover overallotments. The notes will be offered to qualified institutional buyers pursuant to Rule 144A under the Securities Act of 1933. The notes and Canadian Solar's common shares issuable upon conversion of the notes have not been registered yet.

The Company anticipated using the net proceeds from the offering for working capital, general corporate purposes and potential future acquisitions. The announcement comes after a two month rally in the shares that have seen prices spike from $10 to highs in the $18 area before Friday’s close of $15.84. Over a 50% rally will then be followed up with a potentially dilutive financing.

Altair Nanotechnologies Inc. (ALTI) announced the completion of a $40 million private placement of its common stock to Al Yousuf LLC. Under the purchase agreement, Altairnano has agreed to issue an aggregate of 11,428,572 shares of common stock to Al Yousuf LLC at a purchase price of $3.50 per share. The shares will be contractually restricted from resale for at least two years, with one-third of the shares being released from this restriction on the second, third and fourth anniversaries respectively.

The proceeds were noted as being used to support manufacturing growth, working capital and general corporate purposes. The deal comes after shares have experienced a rally over the past two months from the $3 area to highs in the $5 to Friday’s close of $4.05.

Al Yousuf is a leading commercial group in the United Arab Emirates. It’s becoming somewhat apparent that the Middle East is an area that domestic companies are turning to for financing with Citigroup’s recent transaction with Abu Dhabi’s sovereign fund.

In any event, many alternate energy names have seen increased attention over the past few months which put them in excellent shape to raise funds at attractive levels. With many in the same boat, this trend could continue which investors would be wise to watch.




Visit 1800blogger to see all of our industry leading blogs

Labels: , ,